Many ag places already locked in fert prices, and really can't do much about it - they will have fert, but the price is set - not much they can do about it.
A lot of fert comes from Canada, where they have a bit of an OPEC-type cartel on the price of fert; and have a labor issue, and are willing to shut down to let supplies match demand to keep prices up.
Most N comes from overseas these days, and so takes a long time to get here. If we don't order any thing fall, will we have any available at all in spring if _everyone_ lines up then to get it? Did wholesalers order enough then, if we didn't buy any now like 'normal'?
The world ecconomy is in a lot of flux, hard to say where prices of anything will be 6 months from now.
China & the rest of Indonesia has really ramped up their fertilizer use, and at lower prices may buy a lot more than normal - might not leave much available for USA.
So, the simple answer is that fertilizer should end up lower priced in spring.
The difficult question is, will there be any vailable to buy at that time?
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Today's Featured Article - Seeing an Old Friend - by Joe Evans. Dad had a concrete contracting business starting in 1960. One of his first pieces of equipment was a Ferguson TO-35 with a Davis loader. Dad replaced the TO-35 with a MF 202 Workbull, essentially an industrialized Ferguson 35 I am told. Dad bought the 202 new in 1962, and I recall quite clearly going to the dealer with him to sign for it.
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