I think you all have summed it up pretty well. I do not believe we are close to the bottom yet in the fed cattle market or with feeder calves. The next couple years will be recovery years for cattle feeders, who lost a lot of equity in the recent downturn, so they will be reluctant to bid up feeder calves. I think more heifer calves are still being held back to breed, only adding to the over supply of cattle. Coupled with high numbers of cheaper hogs and chicken, it would take a large shift in beef demand to turn things around in the short term. China will be buying more of our beef, which helps, but we still are in the downward swing of the cattle cycle, and that takes several years to move the other way. I look at it as a positive thing to a point, as I can add more replacement heifers to my herd at a much lower cost than a few years ago. I envision $0.75-0.80 fat cattle and 500# calves around $1.10-1.25 for a little while anyway...
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Today's Featured Article - An Old-Time Tractor Demonstration - by Kim Pratt. Sam was born in rural Kansas in 1926. His dad was a hard-working farmer and the children worked hard everyday to help ends meet. In the rural area he grew up in, the highlight of the week was Saturday when many people took a break from their work to go to town. It was on one such Saturday in the early 1940's when Sam was 16 years old that he ended up in Dennison, Kansas to watch a demonstration of a new tractor being put on by a local dealer. It was an Allis-Chalmers tractor dealership,
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