Posted by MarkB_MI on March 22, 2014 at 04:33:16 from (75.198.69.41):
In Reply to: Lost Airliner posted by MT RON on March 21, 2014 at 13:26:14:
The facts are few and the speculation is rampant.
First, it's necessary to be able to turn transponders off ("standby") so aircraft on the ground don't squawk ATC every time someone flips on the master switch. I'm not familiar with the ACARS system, but it would be considered non-essential and anything non-essential in the cockpit can be easily turned off. About the only things that can't be disabled are battery backed-up equipment such as a standby attitude indicator.
Known facts: Transponder and ACARS were turned off and the aircraft made an abrupt turn. Aircraft flew at least until it was almost out of fuel. No confirmed sightings of aircraft after it entered the Indian Ocean. No Emergency Locator Transmitter signal has been detected. Based on last transmissions from the engine ACARS places the location either far north of India or in the southern Indian Ocean.
Most likely scenario: Someone in the cockpit deliberately caused the aircraft to change course for unknown reasons. Aircraft flew southeast into the Indian Ocean until it ran out of fuel and went down into the water and sunk. The possibility that the plane was able to land with the fuel it had left on board after the last ACARS transmission is unlikely, and the lack of any ELT transmission means it probably didn't crash on land.
Anything else is pretty much speculation until the cockpit voice and flight data recorders are recovered. This incident and the Air France crash make a good argument for sending the black box data live back to the ground.
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