Guys think that the corn market price is determined by the US crop and usage. Many look around their area and think that will be a good indicator of the fall price. They do not see a large enough area to be very accurate.
The run up in the corn price started 3 years ago when Russia had a short black wheat crop. They told everyone in late Aug. early Sept. that they would not be exporting any wheat. That and the fact that there where some weather shortages in other parts of the world made the World wide supply of feed grade starch low. So Corn being a feed grade starch, it started a run upward in price.
I was hauling corn for a neighbor in July of 2010 to the local ethanol plant. He was getting #3.42 cash for it.
Old saying on grain price cycles: "You hope to make enough profit on the up swing to cover your loses on the down swing"
There are guys that drove cash rents from $180 per acre to over $400 for the same ground. Seed Corn went from costing $50 per acre to $100. There will be landlords that will not get their rent money in the near future. Corn prices do not have to hit $2 for the fun to begin this time around. The current $4-5 corn takes the fun out of it for most of the high rent guys.
With a big crop we could easily see corn in the $3-4$ range real easy.
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Today's Featured Article - On the Road with Dave Gohl: Deere Departed Friend - by Dave Gohl. Have you ever had to part with a dear friend? It's not easy. If it's due to death, your feelings could be in disarray for days, months or even years. Even now after almost 4 years, I still miss my dad. I remember when I was a kid my dad sometimes would tuck my brother and I in at night and we would ask him questions about his childhood on the farm. To this day, it's some of the best stories I've ever heard. And now, I'm so glad that I asked those questions, and if I were a little smarter i
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