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OT I sure hope this is not true

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john in la

02-07-2008 20:47:54




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I was talking with a lady today that works for Marathon Oil. We were talking about the last refinery built in the states and how the expansion at the Marathon refinery is Garyville La is the first major project of its kind in the states in years.

While I consider her a knowledgeable person and trust what she says I still can not believe what she told me next.

She said they are in the planning stages of building 2 new refineries somewhere in southeast Texas. These are not expansions of existing refineries but totally new sites.

The part that really hit me like a ton of bricks is who is paying for it.
Supposedly the government wants some new refineries built to keep up with growing demand but could not find willing companies/money to build them. So the government is putting up the money or at least backing the loans in case we were to find some alterative source of fuel in the future rendering these new refineries useless.

Please tell me she is mistaking and this is not true.

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Jim Johnson

02-09-2008 05:21:34




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
The oil companies have no incentive to build new refineries, the regulations and lawsuits from special interests would keep them tied up and nothing would get done. With the government behind it maybe, just maybe, it could get done. The oil companies can make their profits from a bulging market, and they are, and never have to do anything. So why should they? It's called making money and that's what they are in business for.

Goerge Bush proposed this several years ago and it's good to see that it's getting done. I hope it does because it's one way to start getting out of this mess that has become our legal system. It is a shame that government has to be involved but increasing capacity is the way to bring down costs.

Jim

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Alex.C

02-08-2008 18:55:21




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
Sorry its true they are already servaing.



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paul

02-08-2008 11:50:33




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
The biggest 'farmer-owned' coops around me are all CENEX/ Land o Lakes coops. we farmers stuck in the seed money to build them, and continue to have a $$$ stake in them. For those who don't know what a coop is. We get to elect the board of directors, and in theory we control them. So, kinda sorta another govt type of thing.....

Anyhow, several years ago, CENEX/LOL started building hog barns & got into the hog business. Directly competing with livestock farmers they are supposed to be serving.

Now this year they have bought several 100,000 acres of farm land in South America. Again, will be directly competing with the folks who built them & should be serving.

So, it happens all the time, not just in govt. All the roads, airports, rail road - all transportation is pretty heavily subsidised by the govt.

--->Paul

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kyleOH

02-08-2008 08:33:36




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
there building the ethanol plants like wildfire around here.. so far i can think of 5 off the top of my head within a 100 mile radius. and 2 of them have already closed down..



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Texasmark

02-08-2008 07:55:57




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
Gotta pitch this in.

John D. Rockerfeller noticed back in the oil boom days (Spindletop in E. Texas for one such field and my wife"s grandpa worked there) that everyone was chasing oil, but no one was processing it (refinery) to be usable.

So what"d he do? Started building refineries and made a ton of money in the process.

----- -----

I understand the Canadian field is up and running now. Supposed to have more oil than all of the middle east. Refineries to support that would surely be a step in the right direction..... .so whatta you guys going to do with all that money? Grin.

Mark

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135 Fan

02-08-2008 13:03:16




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to Texasmark, 02-08-2008 07:55:57  
The oilsands in northern Alberta is the biggest deposit of oil in the world by a good margin. Because it is considered synthetic crude(oil bearing sand), a lot of other countries don't consider it a natural oil field. Something like that. Syncrude Canada is the largest single oil sands operation. 1 out of every 8 gallons of gas in Canada comes just from Syncrude! I read that resently. They have the largest concentration of large mining machines in the world. You can go to their web site where they have a running meter of how many barrels of oil they are producing. They used to make a $1,000,000 profit a day! They, as well as the other tar sands operations are spending billions and billions to extract even more oil and greatly increase production volumes. Petro-Can is hoping to start up a multi billion dollar oil sands operation in the Athabasca oil sands as well. Dave

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buickanddeere

02-08-2008 12:22:33




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to Texasmark, 02-08-2008 07:55:57  
That's the Alberta Tar Sands. I doubt if the US gets any more barrels of oil per day even if production is increased 10 times. The Chinese have more cash to spend than the US and they require ever increasing amounts of oil at home. The Chinese are buying up the Alberta Oil industry lock stock & barrel. The East Indians are dabbling in Alberta a bit too. Bruce Power is building a two unit nuclear plant with options for more in Alberta. The plan is to use cheap nuclear steam to extract crude oil from the sand. And instead sell the expensive natural gas they are currently burning to make process steam. Americans should consider selling the SUV's and getting a diesel wiener wagon instead as their primary vehicle. Better get ready to pay today’s British fuel prices in America tomorrow. And setup a net metering grid tie wind turbine. Then install geothermal heat/AC.


http://www.tarsandswatch.org/transcanada-evaluating-nuclear-alberta

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MSD

02-08-2008 18:30:45




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to buickanddeere, 02-08-2008 12:22:33  
A company from Canada wants and is going to build a pipeline from Canada through the Dakotas where it will split and continue on to Ill. or Ind. and the other leg goes to Cushing Ok. Phillips owns have of that line. 400,000 barrels a day coming to the Us in that on. There is another that goes to Minneapolis as well as one into Montana if I remember reading correctly. The new refinery to be build at Elk Point SD. as mentioned below will also put in a pipeline from Canada for it's oil supply. They are talking another 400,000 barrels a day. It's not all going to go to China.

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buickanddeere

02-09-2008 04:17:11




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 800,000 is a drop in the bucket in reply to MSD, 02-08-2008 18:30:45  
800,000 barrels a day is spilled by the US let alone used. You need another 80,000,000 barrels in secure supply.



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MSD

02-09-2008 07:45:22




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 Re: 800,000 is a drop in the bucket in reply to buickanddeere, 02-09-2008 04:17:11  
I don't know, but there are at least 4 pipelines 42 inches in diameter that I do know of, pumping crude into the US 24 hrs. a day seven days a week. That sounds like it would be one heck of a big spill. If we are loosing that much, no wonder we are short.



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buickanddeere

02-09-2008 13:45:53




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 Re: 400,000 is a drop in the bucket in reply to MSD, 02-09-2008 07:45:22  
Link

Opps, sorry missed a decimal place there. The US uses approx 21,000,000 barrels per day of crude oil. 400,000 is 2% of that amount. It's a safe figure that 2% gets spilled, wasted, evaporates away etc.



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buickanddeere

02-08-2008 07:27:41




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
Irving Oil in St. John New Brunswick is currently enlarging what is already North America's largest oil refinery.



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Retento

02-08-2008 06:40:53




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
I would imagine the govt. will/is backing the refinery project. The military's got to get fuel from somewhere. What are they going to do, buy refined fuel from the Arabs so we can fly over and bomb the Arab countries, I don't think so! The rest of the world is P.O.'d with the U.S. so the U.S. best not depend on the "world" refining fuel for us.....Or am I looking at this all wrong.



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john in la

02-08-2008 06:52:10




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to Retento, 02-08-2008 06:40:53  
Retento
You do make a VERY good point. Now I could go along with funding this project on these terms.

But then I sould get a check or tax break from my money invested buring times of peace.



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Logan in S.E. Texas

02-08-2008 05:58:51




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
John in La & All,

I am a process operator for Motiva in Pt. Author, as far as I know the gov. is NOT paying for OR backing the loans. IF they are the company is ceratinly keeping it quiet and I don't think they could keep something that big quiet. The projects estiamated cost is $7 Billion and as we all know that huge projects like this alays go over budget. When the project was first proposed the cost was ~$3 Billion but hurricanes and other factors have driven the price up. Motiva is a joint venture between Royal Dutch Shell and Saudi Aramco, with each sharing an equal part in this expansion. Any questions y'all have I will do my best to answer.

Logan

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Aleuicius

02-08-2008 05:59:11




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
If I understood discussions I've had over the years about this, the oil companies would require government-backed loans to protect their investment - from the GOVERNMENT. Regulatory hurdles and barriers not only COST, but are ever-changing as the battles for votes surges thru those hallowed halls. The odds are strongest that a refinery would be forced closed due to such bureaucratic "fluctuations".
Keep in mind, on many of these issues, that if you look far enough; the issues requiring government intervention (bail-outs, "loans", "insurance", assurances, etc.)usually were caused by government intervention in the first place.

Be ye all of stout heart; the worst is yet to come

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Aleuicius

02-11-2008 06:12:52




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to Aleuicius, 02-08-2008 05:59:11  
Banking - of any kind - does not lack for government oversight. When someone puts up barriers and restrictions to make your life more and more difficult, do you just submit meekly? Most folks I've ever met will try - then simply find a way around. Many don't believe they do, and very few are foolish enough to advertise.
Why would people in business be different? Besides, this was all 'accepted practice' until overuse exposed flaws that led to panic in other parts of the market.
I'm sure Government will "fix" this (and costs will rise)until another 'accepted practice' becomes unacceptable (and unforeseen) and they'll "fix" that - over and over.

Sounds like job security, mate - very much the core of any full-time politician's priorities.

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Tim B from MA

02-08-2008 07:45:27




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to Aleuicius, 02-08-2008 05:59:11  
Aleuicius,

The current sub-prime crisis was CLEARLY aided and abetted by the LACK of government regulation.

I'd have to do some research but I would guess that the Savings and Loan crisis of the 1980s was also caused by a lack of oversight.



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JW Boseman

02-08-2008 18:57:56




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to Tim B from MA, 02-08-2008 07:45:27  
"I'd have to do some research but I would guess that the Savings and Loan crisis of the 1980s was also caused by a lack of oversight."

Yeah we had Pappy Bu$h & Co doing the oversighting for us back then. Neil and Jeb Bu$h came out smelling like roses on the S&L disaster but their War Prez brother was too busy fleecing the government with his Arbusto Energy scam and missed the S&L party. He has more than made up for it nowadays tho.

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RodInNS

02-08-2008 05:40:33




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
Mabey gas WILL get cheap again.... You fellas get a couple new ones. We should get a new one in Saint John, New Brunswick before too long as Irving is doing the environmental assessment on DOUBLING their capacity there. They already have the largest, most automated refinery in Canada there, and porobably one of the largest in the world. I'm not sure what it's stated capacity is but it supplies a good chunk of the fuel to atlantic Canada and New England...

I don't really care for govenrment involvement in these things when I see the profits the oil companies are making, but they are making those profits because of the margins they have at the refinery level. Another good chunk of supply out there ought to induce some competition and cut their profits some and lower our prices.... hopefully.

Rod

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dhermesc

02-08-2008 05:30:22




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
The government is probably backing the loans. Few commercial lenders will advance capital on a venture as risky as a "new" refinery. They could have a couple BILLION dollars invested in it then the tree huggers will find the refinery endangers the white tipped tailed field mice and delay startup for years.

Usually liscensing boards require that the applicant have funding in advance of issuing the liscense, banks require the liscenses be obtained before funding and the circle goes round and round....

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John S-B

02-08-2008 05:22:40




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
I don't think it would set any precedent, remember the government bailing out Chrysler? And have'nt they given aid to the airlines and railroads before? I think they will have no problems getting the money back, petroleum products are gonna sell.



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David Maddux

02-08-2008 04:51:42




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
So I am going to pay for this refinery right? Then shouldn't the oil co's. give us a break on the price of gas. Yes, I am sure.



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Paul from MI

02-08-2008 04:37:12




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
Just my thoughts on this. If you weree the oil companies would you build expensive refineries. Limited number of oil companies control the fuel supply in the U.S. There's lots of producing countries all over the world, but only a few refineries here. Considering the cost and regulations regarding refineries, why build one, just charge more for what you produce. Get the same revenue and don't have as much expense---more profit/execvutive bonus, etc. This may not be right, but it's the way I look at it. I'm very willing to hear other ideas.
Paul

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Mike M

02-08-2008 04:31:27




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
Likely so much "red tape" no one wanted to mess with it.



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Tradititonal Farmer

02-08-2008 04:01:33




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
At least the gov't is finally doing something to help the productive in our society instead of more handouts to the non productive.Also a good fuel refinery capacity is vital to our national defense



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Fawteen

02-08-2008 01:51:57




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
So what is it that disturbs you about this? More refining capacity or government involvement?

And, for my education, if it's the government funding that bothers you, why?

Not being a wise@$$, really do want to know.



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john in la

02-08-2008 06:48:31




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to Fawteen, 02-08-2008 01:51:57  
More refinery capacity could be a problem. More capacity means more refinery cost and less profit so higher prices.
Goverment backing could be a problem because they do not need to be involved but is most likely needed to buffer votes for EPA standards and other things.

The thing that really sets me off is goverment funding. Why should MY dollars go to funding a project like this. Don't these fools make enough money that I do not need to build their plant.

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Fawteen

02-08-2008 12:40:10




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-08-2008 06:48:31  
It was my understanding that one big excuse for high fuel costs was LACK of refining capacity, leading to demand exceeding supply.

We're getting smoke blown up our exhaust pipe from one direction or another, and probably both.



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Dick L

02-08-2008 07:47:04




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-08-2008 06:48:31  
If I remember right the oil companies had around a 11% profit last year. If you go to a bank and tell them you want to start a new business and they ask what your goal is and you tell them you would like to make a huge profit like the oil companies, you probably would get turned down. 11% profit is not huge. Following the years that they didn't make a profit. If they actually made huge profits they would not have to get government funding. They would have all kinds of privet money

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johnva

02-08-2008 07:26:25




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-08-2008 06:48:31  
I really dont see the problem. I mean for the past several years all that i have heard was the government needs to do something about the high price of fuel. "The government needs to do something, the government needs to do something. My God the government must do something."

The one problem thats causeing fuel (besides speculators, china and $100 barrel oil) to be high is the lack of refining capacity here in the USA. So now the government is trying to do something, by backing funding for a new refinery (if this is even true) to increase refining capacity to help lower the cost, and there are people complaining?

I guess a simpler solution would be to just have the government send us a check every month to offset the cost we pay for our fuel.

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M Moline Fan

02-08-2008 04:27:13




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to Fawteen, 02-08-2008 01:51:57  
I'm not John but can't help adding my 2 cents. Didn't we just hear about an oil company (Exxon?)making new record profits? 40+ billion? Why do THEY need govn't help? This also reminds me of cities building new stadiums with taxpayer dollars for franchises and athletes who make millions a year.



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Vacherie

02-07-2008 23:06:03




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
Also in consruction at the present time Motiva in Port Arthur is doubling their production with a 300+ thousand bbl expansion and will become the largest refinery in the USA.



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gene bender

02-07-2008 22:54:23




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to john in la, 02-07-2008 20:47:54  
Havent you heard their new comercials talking about expansion plans?



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omahagreg

02-08-2008 04:45:34




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to gene bender, 02-07-2008 22:54:23  
I heard the 'gorilla' project site at Elk Point SD is to be a full blown oil refinery! I can see the government backing the 'loan' to build a new plant, but not so sure they would outright fund it. Greg



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MSD

02-08-2008 09:49:19




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to omahagreg, 02-08-2008 04:45:34  
That is what the plan is for Elk Point. They are supposed to get their oil from the sands in Canada. I'm not sure where they plan to get the billions to fund it though. They are not that big of an oil company as I understand it. They are in the zoning stages of it at this time. No permits have been isssued yet. Sounds like that will be the big hurdle for them.



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mark

02-08-2008 05:58:55




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to omahagreg, 02-08-2008 04:45:34  
I wouldn't be a bit surprised if the Chinese were to start exporting GASOLINE to the US and Walmart selling it for $2 a gallon. Never say never!



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Walt Davies

02-08-2008 09:48:04




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 Re: OT I sure hope this is not true in reply to mark, 02-08-2008 05:58:55  
I could care less if it comes from china or anyplace at $2 a gallon I'm standing in line.
Walt



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