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I wouldn't really blame the Boomers per se. Lot's of factors. In my mind, the biggies are: First and foremost, families are now willing to use (and banks willing to loan on) both their incomes to make the mortgage payment. Second, communities in my area (New England) have **huge** incentives to discourage residential development -- it's a giant sink hole of property taxes due to schools. Ahead of an increase from 1 acre to 2 acre minimum lots, my town had 150 subdivision lots filed in December. Without any increases in town services, that will increase my tax bill by about $150 alone as the lots are developed and their kids start to go to school. We've gone from 5,500 to 8,000 population over the last 15 years...located 45 minutes from major cities. The suburbs and small cities near the core cities have no incentive to keep adding housing stock because of that cost of education. So young couples who can't afford top dollar yet are driven to looking further and further. Another interesting interaction is older professionals who lived in the "good" suburbs around Hartford with excellent school systems now have their kids in college or graduated...they sell their house in the town with the excellent schools for $500,000...move to my town where they would've never wanted to raise their kids since the schools weren't "prestigous" enough, buy a much bigger house for $250,000 and use the other $250,000 for RVs, vacation condos, etc. Guess that helps our school taxes a bit :) But it's just another pressure on local housing prices. And let's not forget ridiculously loose credit -- interest only mortgages, 40 year mortgages, etc. Those can really boost how much a dual-income household can "afford" in monthly payments. I'm not concerned of a major crash...I do keep a leery eye knowing that many a colonial or victorian house was torn down in the mid 20th century as a "white elephant" no one could afford the maintenance on and wonder about these 3,000 square foot homes in 30 years when they start falling apart. But as long as our national population, throw births or immigration, keeps growing we'll be OK. I do hope prices level for a while and allow incomes to come up relative to price. Of course, level housing prices doesn't help all this home equity spending into the economy... And I guess one more concern is if increasing energy prices will force families that financed as much as they could on a conventional mortgage in a "ruburb" (rural-suburb) like mine to re-finance into one of the exotic things like an interest only mortgage (you don't pay principle for say, 10 years...if ever...) to help them make ends meet. Acckkk, my head is hurting from all the complications :)
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