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Discussion Board - Can soybeans be the crop of the future?

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7720future

11-22-2004 07:35:32




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I would like to have your opinion on this and any other comments on the future crops for the US. Why and or Why not?


Please email me. at justinjohn84@hotmail.com


Thanks


Justin




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Ryan

11-24-2004 18:33:18




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 Re: Can soybeans be the crop of the future? in reply to 7720future, 11-22-2004 07:35:32  
I have to agree with the other posts. We have now become a gross importer of food with a trade deficit at last two months this year, hasn't happend since 1986. We have raised soybeans last 12 years, has gotten tighter every year. Seems that those collecting the fees are the only ones guaranteed survival anymore. Don't you think there is something wrong when we cannot produce anyting in this country anymore? We have to have someone else do it b/c they can do it cheaper? Doesn't seem right that we taught the rest of the world to do it and now we can't. Our culture has changed, don't care where it comes from, as long as it is cheap and the media isn't running a scare me on how bad it is. Some would say, trim the fat, that is good for America. Won't matter when there is no one left to pay for anything. Rich don't want to pay taxes, the poor don't want to work. We have trade deficits bleeding us through our own disease, consumerism. I am young, I want to farm, but I am also surrounded by "educated" people, and I can tell you from what I have seen things are only going to get worse. All most people care about is that they have cellular service, cheap gas, no traffic, etc. They only care about food when the media needs ratings and runs their scare me ads. Things are only going to get worse, people worry about foreign reliance on oil? Expect things to get very bad in the next two years..... ..... ....Happy Walmarting!

Ryan

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Indydirtfarmer

11-23-2004 07:09:56




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 Re: Can soybeans be the crop of the future? in reply to 7720future, 11-22-2004 07:35:32  
I'm thinking soybeans are at their zenith right now. No where to go but back down.... Brazil and Argentina will do nothing but expand their operations and markets, taking a big bite out of U.S. soy profits.

Like most business ventures, soybean farming is profit driven. We will see the day, and not too far down the road, where soybeans just aren't profitable enough to continue growing them on a large scale.

We have yet to see Russia and China go after their part of the market. They are buyers now, but that could change at any moment.

Corn will continue to be our "ace in the hole". Hay production is reclaiming it's once lofty status, as horse owners are buying more than ever. The hay "industry" won't be able to support a large portion of farmers though.

I see the American farm industry as one in need of change. Our place in the world market is shrinking. We must learn to adapt. I see more "niche market farms" in tomorrows world.

I'm looking at that now. The past 2 years have been really kind to my operation. I don't expect that to be a permenant thing. I'm planning on taking my current good fortune, and using it to launch a new "venture".

Gotta stay ahead of the curve..... ..John

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Chuck MI

11-22-2004 16:42:49




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 Re: Can soybeans be the crop of the future? in reply to 7720future, 11-22-2004 07:35:32  
I'm sad to reply that I believe that the crop of the future is subdivisions. I see more of them growing on farms every day.

Not a very bright future.

Chuck



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kyhayman

11-22-2004 15:36:13




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 Re: Can soybeans be the crop of the future? in reply to 7720future, 11-22-2004 07:35:32  
There is no 'crop of the future'. There are many different crops that will contribute to the future prosperity of individual farmers. If any one crop becomes 'the crop' we will be faced with over production and commodoty status which simply encourages consolidation, over production, and economies of scale which, by nature, eliminate the smaller producers. With that said, all of the oil crops have tremendous potential. As fossil sources of oils become more scarce alternative renewable oils will have a larger place in the the world. The tremendous production potential from South America will continue to limit upside prices for soybeans. Corn (like Paul said) shows more potential, yields are good and advancing, it is native to the US, we have a good handle on pests, and we do have extensive reserves of natural gas as feed stock for nitrogen synthesis (coal beds for one).

One must take the broad view of a global economy to predict the future. We do not face the challenge that Sec Butz posed in the 70's to 'feed the world'. We can do that. What we cant do is transport that food to where the consumers are, and the consumers lack the resources to pay for it. Instead (in my crystal ball), we will see more 'alternative' uses of crops. Whatever grain will produce the greatest yield of alcohol will begin to dominate as an ehtanol feedstock, as will the crop showing the best potential as a starch polymer, and like wise the use of crops for oils.

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paul

11-22-2004 08:52:26




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 Re: Can soybeans be the crop of the future? in reply to 7720future, 11-22-2004 07:35:32  
What's your angle????

Soybeans are already one of the major crops in the USA. What future? Already 'now'.

Corn is the standby. Beans have hit their 'good days'. They aren't growing in yieldcompared to other crops, and they are getting more pests, while we are getting a handle on the pests for other crops....

One could make a case that corn is the crop of the future, more than beans.

But beans will certainly be a big part of the future. It will depend on what breakthroughs we make in their yield & protection.

--->Paul

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Paul E

11-30-2004 17:45:04




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 Re: Can soybeans be the crop of the future? in reply to paul, 11-22-2004 08:52:26  
Have to agree with other, there will be plenty of soybean on world market once developing countries get on market.

I see corn being better. With fossil fuels "running out" and still no viable alternatives, we'l see more ethanol and Biodiesel. Biodiesel is much more popular in Europe, not sure why its taking so long to catch on here..... ....



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mike brown

12-02-2004 15:14:39




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 Re: Can soybeans be the crop of the future? in reply to Paul E, 11-30-2004 17:45:04  
I think the crop of the future will be a crop that produces energy not food. It will need to be engeneered to be nitrogen fixing and produce at least three times the oil per acre of soybeans.



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