Re: If no rain soon done with hay for 2020

Posted by Shaler on August 07, 2020 at 06:36:33 from (71.112.189.13):

In Reply to: If no rain soon done with hay for 2020 posted by wolfman on August 06, 2020 at 18:54:52:

Thats an incredible drop off for you Wolfman, and Im a bit impressed your normal yields for 2nd and 3rd crop are close to 80 bales per acre on your 12 acres. I glanced at the new US Drought Monitor map this morning and saw the lower 3/4ths of Washington County is in a "moderate drought". Im curious of course how hay prices will shake out over the next 6 months. Last year it was difficult to get good hay in because it was generally too wet until about this time (then it dried up of course, but it was just too late in the year). I thought hay prices would be very good but of course since we did not have much of a winter, hay prices did not increase at all. I think I will adhere to an old Wall Street adage and "buy on the rumor and sell on the news". In other words, if it continues to stay dry I will attempt to move my hay before years end and not gamble that hay prices will not be way up there in February and March. That said, we are definitely overdue for a rough winter. I was up in Mifflin County yesterday and they per the drought map the northern half of Mifflin is in a moderate drought as well. However from road level, most crops look pretty good, in fact soybeans generally look very good. Some dutchmen cutting 3rd crop alfalfa. I think they got some moisture from that storm Isasias.

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