Posted by picassomcp on December 04, 2015 at 08:22:52 from (50.107.34.32):
I have 2500 bushel of soybeans stored at my local elevator. I brought them in there the 1st of Oct, was asked if I wanted to sell them for that days price of $8.11 or if I wanted to store them. They offered 90 days storage for $0.12 per bushel. This was there minimum storage fee. Me, in my infinite wisdom figured that the price will be at a low now due to it being harvest time and lots of beans coming in. I decided to store all my beans. I have been watching the bean price ever since and they are pretty much lower than they were at harvest time. Todays price if sold to them would be $7.96 minus the 12 cents making it $7.84 per bushel. Bummer.
Now, this is my first year of marketing any grain, I have just done hay to this point. I don't exactly need to sell my beans now, but it would be nice to free up some cash to reinvest in other things, including next years inputs. I would like to hit the market at a high point, no one knows when that will be, but hitting the harvest time price is really my goal at this point. Beans have been up the last few days, but they got a ways to go yet to get to the harvest time price plus the 12 cents I paid to store them.
Now with the above items in mind, I have a few questions for you experienced grain marketers.
Does my thought of harvest time prices being low hold any water? Certainly it doesn't this year, but in a typical year do prices tend to slump around harvest? When is a usual high point in the market? Is there such a thing?
Also, to determine todays price, my elevator takes ADM's current price, minus the basis, then minus $.55 Today, that is just over $1 per bushel under ADM's price. I could have my beans removed from the local elevator and hauled to any terminal I like, but the elevator will still charge me the $0.12 storage fee plus an additional 0.10 per bushel load out fee. I haven't priced trucking yet, but the neighbors tell me it is about $0.25 per bushel to get the beans hauled to the Twin Cities where ADM and other buyers are at. Is this something I should look into more? Is my elevator treating me fairly here?
I'm just looking for any grain marketing tips or ideas from you seasoned fellers while I get going in this game. I'm having fun, just need to continue learning!
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