Posted by oldtanker on October 27, 2014 at 11:13:40 from (64.118.3.75):
In Reply to: How to expand?? posted by dmiller on October 26, 2014 at 20:03:12:
One of the keys here is that machinery is not an investment unless you are making more money on it over maintenance, repairs and depreciation. Lot of people loose sight of that. Overall a farm can make money but some equipment may be costing more than it earns. For example a grinder mixer that get used once a year may not really be worth keeping even if paid for just because it looses value each year. So does the cost of prepared feed minus the value of the grain being ground, fuel and tractor use ECT make it profitable to keep or should a guy get rid of it and just buy prepared feed? There is no stock answer to that because each operation is different. On the other hand buying land at current prices can kill you should we slip into another recession. Are you going to be able to make the payments? Again that is different for each farmer. Right now I think keep debt down is going to be the breaking point for many. Those with reasonable debt will weather the storm while those who extended themselves because of prices the last few year are going to be hurting. And it goes in a circle. Grain is down while beef is up. Another could of years and it will change.
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