Hay Predictions for 2021

Bill VA

Well-known Member
Here is a video of my swag regarding what I see as the haying outlook for 2021...

Enjoy!

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Hay Predictions for 2021
 
Excess of hay now but one dry year will take care of that.Guy about a half mile from me bought some large calves and is now buying hay from me since I'll take the round bale to his place and put it in the field.Good to sell some hay since I have a lot of extra.
 
Your guess is as good as anybody's. Have a warm March to where animals can start grazing (which has been very rare here, anymore) then prices will soften. Very little rain from May onward then very strong prices. The predictions from several years ago of railing hay in from the West into the NE has not come to be from what I see. Start railing in hay in massive quantities then there will be a lot of hay tools sitting or for sale.
 
I did not watch the video but will add the following points (knowing full well its tough forecasting such things a month in advance, not to mention several!) - the trade is speculating that we need to plant about 91 million acres APIECE for corn and beans in 2021, more than ever before. This could take some hay acres out of production. Also, I believe some cooler heads are prevailing with this latest round of nnalert relief and the $15 minimum wage is being carved out. BUT, that does not mean its dead. Im sure the notion will continue to be pushed. therefore, all other things being equal, the hay prices late in 2021 will probably be higher than the similar period in 2020.
 
No hay glut here in Ontario, Canada. It’s still a long time till the grass is green again. When I have had extra hay to sell, I usually have sold more hay in the first week of April then the first 3 months of the year.
 
Here in southern MN we have had 5 years of very wet weather.

Hay is sort of a ‘waste’ crop locally, it’s all corn and soybeans. Hay comes from road ditches and ground too wet to farm, but it dries up a bit in June to maybe cut hay.

The previous 4 years were so wet, and then we had hard winters, that hay was really short. Even just average hay was bringing 4-5 bucks a bale.

Now this past summer was also wet, but we had a dry spring, so that first cutting got made off those wet areas for a change.

Then we had a nice long fall, not much snow into January, so there wasn’t as much demand for hay.

So the auction prices are back to $1.50 a bale. Even saw some nice alfalfa go for $2.50 a bale.

Just no buyers this winter.

We got some snow now, and we are in a bitter cold snap, that might accelerate hay use and bring out a few more buyers. Up here in the tundra there is a long ways until green up yet.

But, yea, the hay market is dead around here too again.

Could use that drought locally. Dry up some of that excess water around here.

Something that might not apply to you, but around here, with the higher corn and bean prices, anything that can be planted to row crops will be, won’t be extra little corners of hay for 2021. So that might cut into next fall supply somewhat.

Paul
 
Unless things change which I doubt hay will be about free here. I've got last years hay still here and almost all of this years hay yet. I guess I should just load and haul to sale take what I get and go on. I think I'm going to plow under a few acres in planning for a new patch on a field that needs to be in sod for erosion reasons. Just broke it out to corn last year so corn again this year then beans with hay to follow. Then be hay for a long time. Maybe pasture it again in the future too.
 
I don't bale hay any more but my whole farm is now grass. A big dairy farmer down the road buys it standing every year. After it's cut it gets liquid manure.
I used to collect pallets to line my barn floor and stack the hay on them. Air circulates under the hay and the bottom tier doesn't spoil.
 
I am positive in a few weeks the sun will make a come back, and it will warm up. This will make the hay grow tall and green. happens each year. AL
 
Some years we would run out of places to put hay, other years we wouldn't get the barn filled, but it seemed like every year we had just the exact right amount.

I've always said that the year there isn't enough hay is just God's way of telling you it's time to hang it up.
 

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