OT - Tx drought

Nancy Howell

Well-known Member
Found this article on Yahoo! News. The news isn"t good.


LUBBOCK, Texas (AP) — Randy McGee spent $28,000 in one month pumping water onto about 500 acres in West Texas before he decided to give up irrigating 75 acres of corn and focus on other crops that stood a better chance in the drought.

He thought rain might come and save those 75 acres, but it didn"t and days of triple-digit heat sucked the remaining moisture from the soil. McGee walked recently through rows of sunbaked and stunted stalks, one of thousands of farmers counting his losses amid record heat and drought this year.

The drought has spread over much of the southern U.S., leaving Oklahoma the driest it has been since the 1930s and setting records from Louisiana to New Mexico. But the situation is especially severe in Texas, which trails only California in agricultural productivity.

McGee is still watering another variety of corn, cotton and sorghum but the loss of nearly one-sixth of his acres after spending so much on irrigation weighs on him.

"Kind of depressing," the 34-year-old farmer said. "You use that much of a resource and nothing to show for it. This year, no matter what you do, it"s not quite enough."

About 70 percent of Texas rangeland and pastures are classified as in very poor condition, which means there has been complete or near complete crop failure or there"s no food for grazing livestock. The crop and livestock losses could be the worst the state has seen — perhaps twice the previous single-year record of $4.1 billion set in 2006, said David Anderson, an economist with Texas AgriLife Extension Service.

Part of the reason for the high dollar figure is that while farmers have lost a lot, the corn and other products they are losing are worth more this year. Strong global demand and tight supplies have helped push up prices for commodities like corn, cotton, wheat and beef.

Cotton supplies are low worldwide, and U.S. cattle numbers are the lowest since the 1950s. Livestock farmers and ethanol producers are competing for corn, driving up those prices, and wheat is costing more in part because Russia banned exports after a drought there last summer.

Cotton and corn are selling for more than two-and-a-half times what they did five years ago, and the price of wheat is more than one-and-a-half times what it was in 2006.

"This was a year farmers might have done well," Anderson said.

Consumers will eventually see the cost of the drought passed on to them, although it"s hard to say by how much since processing, marketing, transportation and other costs also play a big role in retail prices, he said.

Texas" economy will take a more direct hit. Agriculture accounted for $99.1 billion of Texas" $1.1 trillion economy, or 8.6 percent, in 2007, the most recent year data on food and fiber was available from the extension service. Losses in that sector have a ripple effect that"s about twice the amount of the actual agricultural loss.

"That"s a fairly substantial portion of the Texas economy that"s going through this hardship," Anderson said.

And, it"s a hardship that"s following close on the heels of others. Texas suffered droughts in 2005-06 and 2008-09, although those were mostly regional. This year"s is broader and more intense. The state is coming off its driest nine-month period ever and its hottest June on record. More than 90 percent of the state is in the two most severe drought stages.

Thousands of acres of crops have failed in areas where farmers rely on rain, while those grown with irrigation continue to struggle. Already, more than 2 million acres of cotton that"s not irrigated has been lost, adding about $1.1 billion to an initial $1.5 billion loss agriculture officials announced in mid-May. That included livestock and wheat, corn and sorghum crop losses from November through May 1.

"It"s ugly right now," said cotton farmer Rickey Bearden, who hasn"t had a good rain since October on his 9,000 acres on the South Plains, the world"s largest contiguous growing patch. "This one, we were all hopeful of a really good price and a good crop. It just doesn"t seem like this is going to be the year for it."

Some ranchers have begun culling their herds because the cattle have nowhere to graze and prices are high for supplemental feed and hay. They"re sending more animals to auction and selling calves earlier. Old cows are being sold, and in some cases, ranchers are getting rid of animals normally considered vital to future production — heifers and 3-year-old to 6-year-old cows.

"It"s heartbreaking," said Debbie Davis, a rancher northwest of San Antonio. "Anyone that needs a little extra care, they"ve got to go."

The situation isn"t likely to improve soon: forecasters predict Texas" drought will persist through September.

Davis has been having alfalfa trucked in from Nebraska to feed her cattle at a cost of $240 per ton — $60 of that for transportation. She said she loves ranching, but times like these give her pause: "It makes me want to buy land somewhere else."

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Associated Press writer Betsy Blaney can be reached at http://twitter.com/betsyblaney
 
I have seen how tough you folks have it down there. On the other hand, we had over 4 inches of rain last night here in southeast. SD. You can have all you want of it. We would be glad to share.
 
live one mile north of the red river, I look at texas every time i step on my porch. every old timer I talk to can't remember any year that has been this bad. we are in the drought as well. 60 plus days of 100 degree heat. you have to take the good with the bad I guess.
 
The drought is terrible, costly as all heck to the people and their pocket book. The news media talks of it a little, so even up here we know it is going on. In the Missouri River valley there are over a half million acres of corn underwater. Relative of mine has lost over 400 acres that was up and looking good. Water been up since May, may not go away til September, where is the news media? Like the drought it just won't go away.
 
In the area where I live, about 50 miles north of Abilene, Tx there is nothing but plowed fields where normally this time of year dryland cotton would be knee high or better by now. A few farmers planted back in May but nothing even sprouted much less came up.
 
What is hay going for down in western texas? up here in northern wisconsin we had a great 1st crop and have heard guys hauling semis of square bales to texas. Also did some people ship of cattle to greener pastures in out west montana wyoming?
 
To randallnMo... Not trying to start a argument here, just curious. I don't know much about raising corn. But don't it take a lot of water to grow? The article said $28,000 PER month. So if he irrigated for 3 months, costs would be $84,000. So at your figure of $73,125, then it wouldn't be worth it would it? Or was that what you were saying? Again, not trying to argue, trying to understand.
 
At the farm in e. Texas, one guy we know said large rounds were $100. That was about 3 weeks ago.

Saw a guy cutting the right of way last w/e.

Most folks around us are starting to sell their livestock.

We"re getting some rain, but its just small showers, nothing widespread.

The spring in my horse pasture is down to a trickle. Last weekend, had to put out a tub because the spring can"t keep up.

We"re setting up temporary grazing areas in places where we normally would be cutting hay. While there"s some grass there, it never got tall enough to cut for hay and now its turning brown from lack of moisture.

I didn"t sell the hay I had left over from last year and with the one small cutting we got, if I"m stingy with it, I think I can squeak through until next spring.
 
You see some of that, lots of cattle are being sold for slaughter instead. Fuel costs are eating up most if not all the profit in shipping hay.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/17/us-texas-drought-idUSTRE75G62220110617
 
Lots of alfalfa hay from here heading down that way. I"m sure most of it is going to dairies. And i am sure it isn"t cheap.
 
I went back and reread the article. It said he spent $28,000 irrigating 500 acres in one month. He then gave up on the 75 acres of corn. Obviously, it would not have cost that much just to irrigate the 75 acres. I too missed the total acres involved. My response to the question was therefore misleading as well. My mistake. My intent was to show the gross revenue at the given yield potential. Corn is a BIG user of water. 'General rule of thumb is 1 acre inch of water per week during the growing season.
 
I remember when they build the dam at Piere it was for flood control that happened every year why had it worked for so msny year and this year the engineers decided to do it different and look what happened. gitrib
 
No I can't, never raised corn commercial, don't know how many bushels to an acre or what the going price is now.
Also don't know the varieable of how many months he has to water or when it'll be ready for harvest, and is the output the same per acre in Texas.
Also when I lived in Texas we planted our garden in the shade so it wouldn't burn up.
So my equation looks like,
75x0=0 0*$.00=$00-X number of months costs=?
 
Just talked to the feed store here in Dallas where I do business. They are out. They had someone who had said he would save some for them, but when they went to get it he had sold it. He had 500 rounds and its all gone.

Wanda said some folks were already getting $150 a round.
 
A few years ago didnt someone say something about the earth might be getting warmer? If so I hope the whole earth dosent get into this perdickament.
 
Guys I have a cousin @ Olton,Tx about 35 Mi NW of Lubbock Tx he has spent the last month renozzeling sprinklers (most are 1/4 milers)to make their water stretch out on their Corn. They are on then shallow SW edge of the Ogalla Aquafier.
* Out of just South of 1500 acres of corn they have abandoned 450 acres, 3 watering and most of the Fertilizer is in the crop ++++
Out of 600+ acres of Cotton, 150 will be abandoned shortly thy just don't have the water since there hasn't been any help from rain! Usually there is a couple of 3 good summer rains that give some relief and help.
With the Spot Market price bouncing off of $12/CWT not Bu! Yes it is worth it specially when they average 220+ Bu/acre. As a general rule.
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I have a neighbor here close to me that Bought 100 rounds bales Down near Corpus Christy,Tx. Got them bought for about $50 ea, but after they were loaded the freight was some over $4.00 a loaded mile making them about $80 ea delivered to his place. 30+ bales per semi load!
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DRY.....We are WAAAAAAY passed hysterically panicked. Llano,Texas is down to less than 4 weeks of water for the towns people. I have yet heard what will happen then, There are people 15 miles from me whose wells are pumping muddy water All but dry!
We Do not waste any water here @ My place. No Extra-Curricular Water use of any kind Period.
All faucets are checked 2 twice/Day. To secure what water storage we have on hand.
Just another day of 101* to 105* weather here in Central Texas.
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Tomorrow just a cool 146* in the shade......NO Problem, LOL!!!
Later,
John A.
 

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