crop report

Bob Bancroft

Well-known Member
Location
Aurora NY
Does anyone believe the crop report?
Problems everywhere, and yet lots of corn planted?
And another question-
I continue to hear about how much more food is costing. That's not the case in our household. So what's going on there?
Some of these talking heads ought to buy some new iron, seed, fertilizer, etc.
 
One thing I heard on the news is that the packages or containers that food comes in are getting smaller but the unit price is staying the same, so food prices may be going up if that is true.
 
Yes and no. I'm 20 miles west of Peoria in central IL. There is more corn planted here than I have ever seen. Guys planted corn on corn that never had. Most of it is head high and on the verge of shooting tassles. Looking out my back door I could easily believe the USDA's numbers for acreage and condition BUT, there are so many acres adversly affected by the wet weather this spring and flooding it seems almost impossible their number is right. I heard a anylist on the radio call the report "hard to beleive". Whether its right or wrong it is the number the guys in Chicago will work with untill August.
bill
 
Just to add to what bill said, corn acres are up in my area as well.

Corn on corn and pastures plowed up and put to corn. Cow numbers are down in this area.

I do not think we are going to see a large national average yield per acre.

Time will tell.

Gary
 
I don't know if your household grows all your own vegetables and fruits and cans them, and if you keep a side or two of beef in the freezer. But if not, and you go to the grocery on a fairly regular basis, you cannot help but see rising food prices. Most things are up 20% or more from a year or two ago.
 
Planted crop report INCLUDES several hundred thousand acres that were flooded AFTER planting, and will yield very little if at all.

Report overlooks the fact that much of the crop was planted WAY late. Yield average is optimistic at best, simply ridiculous at worst.

Carryover stocks numbers prior to now were a WAG at best. That may be the only number in the report that has some validity.

USDA has a vested interest in boosting foreign trade. Lower prices as a result of report will boost trade numbers.

We won't know exact numbers until Aug or Sept.

Local elevator owner said expect $4 corn this fall.
 
The kids are long gone so the wife doesn't have pigs and chickens and the large garden anymore. But she always buys out of the sale flyer, and still makes most everything from scratch- cereal- bread- etc.
 
Old indian trick....Smaller packages allow sellers to make all sorts of claims... "Less fat", ect...By virtue of the fact there's less PRODUCT. Then people pay even MORE because they somehow believe the product is "healthier".
 
I often get disgusted at those who "reply" to themselves on here- but I will commit that sin to say- Hearing from respected voices from the heartland- I will accept the corn acres- and back off from thinking about conspiracy theories!
We'll wait and see on the yield.
 
Want to cut the price of a one pound box of Kellogs corn flakes by 13 cents? Get rid of the corn!
 
I have no idea about the crop report. We are such a minor player in this area in grain production what I can see wouldnt make a difference but, just out driving, our acres are up what appears to be at least 7x.

Now as far as the grocery goes, that I can believe. I eat relatively little at home but I do shop for my mom as she doesnt drive much any more. Even shopping sales, store brands, etc I'd say my bill is up 15-20 percent and hers is up about a third. I've quit buying beef except for hamburger at all.
 
The acreage jump in corn is based on fact if everywhere is like around here, North-east Iowa. I just pointed out to a friend yesterday a small barn lot, one acres or less that was planted into field corn. Not many of the CRP acres left around here either, all planted to corn too.

Food prices have gone up. Some things 20-30%. I am buying a lot of milk with the grand-son recovering plus my Youngest son living with us as he and his wife went back to college. It has went from $2.80 to $3.95 in the last 60 days. This is at the same store. We are going through 4-5 gallon each week. If you have to buy meat check out the price on beef and pork. It is up 40-50%.

I am not faulting the farmers that are raising the products. Higher feed cost have driven up cost. The higher fuel prices have driven up the production cost and transportation cost.

We humans do not eat much grain directly, based on total bushels, but many of our food products have processed grain products in them. Look at all of the things corn sweeteners are used in.

I like how the powers that be say we are not having inflation. OF course they removed food and energy from the calculations. Interest rates and inflation ARE going to boom. There is too much debt ,public and private. Many do not remember the late seventies and early eighties. We have been doing just about the same things now and are seemly shocked that we are getting the same results.
 
Not being talked about: The soybeans. The rport puts us kinda close on supplies there.

Around me, the beans look terrible. The corn looks bad and very small, but the beans look bad.

Going to take a good July, August, and Sept to get a good crop of either 'here'.

---->Paul
 
I have lived here in mid Michigan for 25 years. In the last 2 years, I've seen fields that were completely overgrown, that needed bulldozers to clean up, get turned back into cornfields. A couple places that had been subdivisions are now growing corn or beans. I don't think we will see those subs built out anytime soon.
 
I do not believe there is normal acres of corn planted around me and there is only perhaps a tenth that falles into the good catagory with so much of what else is out there in such poor condition it was only planted because of the crop insurance rulls and planted on last day of planting. That corn is only 6" tall and 2-3' between plants and all it will be good for is silage if it matures enough for that as it is like a few years back it did not mature enough the toxins would not let it be used for silage and not enough cows to if it could be used for that to use all the poor corn. Think some fields have not been planted at all. The later planted normal tillage beans are not yet out of the ground while the notill beans are going in as wheat is being taken off. The talking heads are predicting a bumper crop yet I can not even see it as a poor to average crop. Western Ohio, eastern Indiana.
 
90 percent of the cotton in jackson county OK is being plowed, insurance has called a total loss, most ranchers are having to sell most of their livestock. no rain and 100-110 heat for the last month. we have irrigated cotton, but the lake only had enough to water up one time. I went grocery shopping with the old lady last week and almost fell over...inflation is definitely here...
 
175 acres of corn planted twice flooded out twice going to plant late beans and hope for the best, after three years of dry weather one year of wet isn't going to make me quit but it dang sure don't help my disposition.
 

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