Posted by James22 on October 04, 2012 at 20:55:01 from (207.179.239.187):
In Reply to: Which corn? posted by young tractor on October 04, 2012 at 10:15:59:
Planted all high-priced Dekalb this year and emergence in this particular location could be very poor(Central Illinois). Seed dealer told me he had several upset larger farmers. Some area's were completely bare; the refuge was better than the BT traited stuff. Estimate the bare spots cost final yield average 1-2 bu/acre. Suffered thru a very dry year so not surprised if the majority of the acres which had roughly 10-15 thousand population/acre wouldn't have yielded any better if the planted/anticipated 34 thousand/acre population had actually emerged/grown. Estimate 30% had the planted/anticipated population. About 50% harvested with a yield around 120 bu/acre. The worst is already harvested so this estimate could be 10 bu/acre low, or if I'm wrong on the harvested acreage; 5 bu/acre too high. If we and the vast majority would have had decent weather and therefore crop prices had plummented to $4-5/bu this would have been a bad situation. But with cash corn at $7.50+/bu, crop returns look pretty good. Not near what 200 bu/acre at $7.50 would bring, but only a few luckly ones that got decent rains and those with irrigation are shoveling this gold. Wouldn't plant it again unless I received an iron clad guarantee that emergence would be as advertised or that someone other than me would ante up the $ difference between the actual yield and the 200 bu/acre expectation multiplied by the cash corn price. Not likely this will happen, so no Dekalb next year and also unwilling to "forgive and forget" for a few free bags of seed. Wasn't short season corn.
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