Yep. Anybody in business who hasn't known hard times is bound to make a lot more mistakes than those who have. Those of us who farmed through Carters grain embargo and all the trouble in the 80s know better than to take the chances we took before all that hit the fan. I think they call it a normalcy bias. A belief that just because something has never happened,it never will.
The wife and I were district winners in the Outstanding Young Dairy Couple contest back in the day. We represented the district in the state contest. I went on to be on the District Nominating Committee in the Dairy Co-Op later on and was in on picking the district winner. Seems like there was no middle of the road there. The winners usually went on to either be on the State Board of Directors,or out of business in a few years. When you're talking young people,I don't know that giving a big award is always a good thing. Some can handle it,some get a big head and get over confident.